Severe Outbreak Update

It's been a pretty nasty night in Texas and Oklahoma, as was expected. Tomorrow's potential might be limited by the leftover convection from tonight's storms...the kinematic ingredients that made meteorologists recall legendary outbreaks are still there, but lack of instability and timing are serious limiting factors that might save many people from a very bad day. The outlook is nowhere near as bullish as it was yesterday or Monday...in fact it's quite possible SPC will choose not to issue a high risk.

The fact that the system is coming in slower than progged means we might see some severe weather locally on Friday. If it comes it will likely be an intense squall line with potential imbedded supercells. Friday's picture will become clearer after tomorrow plays itself out.